Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 5.461241 6.372911 7.346159 8.457806 9.687653 11.002026 12.508234
2025-11-02 3.899460 5.082127 6.442649 8.104284 10.059279 12.267174 14.929327
2025-11-09 2.856651 4.151012 5.750250 7.826071 10.402598 13.449706 17.277587
2025-11-16 2.162112 3.495677 5.259306 7.678839 10.825701 14.695051 19.722228
2025-11-23 1.663801 2.991415 4.866391 7.573875 11.245282 15.914498 22.156016
2025-11-30 1.413896 2.786264 4.834411 7.917011 12.236107 17.872678 25.569885
2025-12-07 1.135581 2.475935 4.598349 7.932736 12.761235 19.225129 28.236836
2025-12-14 0.840198 2.066711 4.146462 7.573461 12.716037 19.788174 29.862315
2025-12-21 0.625771 1.745184 3.778536 7.286959 12.730445 20.403416 31.547579
2025-12-28 0.552691 1.682119 3.831200 7.652465 13.708903 22.378934 35.123313
2026-01-04 0.507675 1.667456 3.963354 8.148963 14.899293 24.684110 39.206035
2026-01-11 0.459953 1.634734 4.055366 8.578919 15.999121 26.885364 43.191301
2026-01-18 0.376933 1.498634 3.941481 8.661203 16.579017 28.379821 46.267693
2026-01-25 0.285479 1.308476 3.692335 8.483130 16.731741 29.248441 48.478465
2026-02-01 0.212113 1.136809 3.450694 8.290551 16.841153 30.045711 50.597788
2026-02-08 0.159979 1.004766 3.269595 8.187067 17.081667 31.035998 53.007811
2026-02-15 0.119867 0.891246 3.108965 8.103468 17.343560 32.057969 55.479090
2026-02-22 0.106304 0.875760 3.180029 8.478362 18.404971 34.343721 59.865158
2026-03-01 0.082006 0.797815 3.082005 8.502599 18.851935 35.674370 62.848361
2026-03-08 0.052122 0.662382 2.805136 8.128476 18.568622 35.832817 64.062793
2026-03-15 0.032525 0.555149 2.577013 7.828737 18.393985 36.147806 65.507912
2026-03-22 0.028888 0.553836 2.658865 8.214901 19.493519 38.553027 70.196504
2026-03-29 0.027582 0.570624 2.798481 8.738207 20.863703 41.426122 75.648060